Nifty Outlook For Sept 11

***Technicals

Nifty trading sideway with downward bias.
RSI and stochastics still in triangle.
***Derivatives (September 10)

Nifty (September) future premium decreased to 17 points and around 30 lakh shares were added in open interest with decrease in the cost of carry, indicating new short at higher levels.

Nifty open interest put-call ratio decreased to 1.16

***Fund flow (September 9)

~FIIs net in Index fut. +450 cr

~FIIs net in Stock Fut. –577 cr

~FIIs in Cash Market -186 cr

~Mut Funds in Cash Market -214 cr

***total fund flow -527cr today & nifty was down by 14 points.

*** so far net fund flow of -1310 cr in September series. (nifty is up in September series). This suggests that upside will be limited only.

Nifty Analysis For Sept 10

********Technicals*****

Nifty breaks the triangle on upside y’day but RSI and stochastics still in triangle.
But now RSI at make or break level so tomorrow’s closing will be important to decide short term trend.
***Nifty**** ~ September 9~

Nifty (September) future premium decreased to 20 points and around 5 lakh shares were added in open interest with decrease in the cost of carry, indicating new short at higher levels.
***Options**** ~September 9~

Nifty call option added 17 lakh shares in open interest, whereas put option added 10 lakh shares in open interest.Thus open interest put-call ratio decreased to 1.28.
********Fund flow*** ~ September 8~

~FII index fut + 954 cr!!!!!!!!!!

~FII stock fut –147cr

~FII cash +758 cr!!!!!!!!

~Mut cash +100 cr

*******total fund flow +1665 cr today & nifty was up by 130 points.

****** so far net fund flow of -783 cr in September series. (nifty is up in September series).This suggest that upside will be limited only.

***********Past fund flow**********

~ Net fund flow of +6474 cr in July series. (Nifty +18 in series, closed at 4333)

~ Net fund flow of -8071 cr in June series (Nifty -520 in series, closed at 4315)

~Net fund flow of -6641 cr in August series. (Nifty -119 in series, closed at 4214)
happy trading and investing.

-dr.jignesh shah

NIFTY ANALYSIS FOR SEPT 9

********Technicals***** ~September 8~
Nifty breaks the triangle on upside but RSI and stochastics still in triangle so sideway trend should continue with negative bias in the now 4200-4550 range.
Head and shoulder is also forming which is very bearish
***Nifty**** ~ September 8~
Nifty (September) future premium increased
to 24 points and around 1 lakh shares were added in open
interest. with increase in the cost of carry,
indicating new long at lower levels.
***Options**** ~September 8~
Nifty call option added 10.6 lakh shares in open interest, whereas
put option added 22 lakh shares in open interest.Thus open interest put-call ratio increased to 1.31 from 1.28.

********Fund flow*** ~ September 5~
~FII index fut – 633 cr
~FII stock fut – 743 cr
~FII cash -1737 cr!!!!!!!!!!!
~Mut cash -99 cr
*******total fund flow -3212 cr today & nifty was down by 95 points.
****** so far net fund flow of -2448 cr in September series. (nifty is up in September series).Thus upside if any in market will be limited only.
***********Past fund flow**********
~ Net fund flow of +6474 cr in July series. (Nifty +18 in series, closed at 4333)
~ Net fund flow of -8071 cr in June series (Nifty -520 in series, closed at 4315)
~Net fund flow of -6641 cr in August series. (Nifty -119 in series, closed at 4214)
happy trading and investing.
-dr.jignesh shah

Nifty Analysis For September 8

Learning without thinking begets ignorance.Thinking without learning is dangerous.
~ Confucius

********Technicals***** ~September 5~

Nifty,RSI and stochastics now in triangle and breakout will give direction.
As y’day NSG deal is signed I expect our markets to open gap up by at least 100-150 points in nifty, so nifty should open above 4450….
Now if 4522 is taken out on closing basis then we will be in uptrend with targets of 4640,4800.
***Nifty**** ~ September 5~

Nifty (September) future premium increased to 16 points and around 8 lakh shares were added in open interest with increase in the cost of carry, indicating new long at lower levels.

********Fund flow*** ~ September 4~

~FII index fut – 1337 cr!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

~FII stock fut – 832 cr

~FII cash -399 cr

~Mut cash +134 cr

*******total fund flow -2434 cr today & nifty was down by 56 points.

****** so far net fund flow of +764 cr in September series. (nifty is up in September series).

***********Past fund flow**********

~ Net fund flow of +6474 cr in July series. (Nifty +18 in series, closed at 4333)

~ Net fund flow of -8071 cr in June series (Nifty -520 in series, closed at 4315)

~Net fund flow of -6641 cr in August series. (Nifty -119 in series, closed at 4214)
happy trading and investing.

-dr.jignesh shah

NIFTY INTRADAY ANALYSIS

NIFTY AT MAJOR SUPPORT AREA OF 4330, ONE CAN BUY HERE FOR DECENT INTRADAY UPSIDE

NIFTY ANALYSIS FOR SEPT 5

********Technicals***** ~September 4~

Nifty traded in between y’day’s high and low.
As discussed y’day it did not cross 4540 and traded below 4450 so now nifty will be sideways with downward bias.
Nifty,RSI and stochastics now in triangle and breakout will give direction.
***Nifty**** ~ September 4~

Nifty (September) future premium decreased from 12.80 points
to 8.30 points and around 2.20 lakh shares were shed in open
interest with decrease in the cost of carry,
indicating long closure at higher levels. (bearish)
***Options**** ~September 4~

Nifty call option added 15.70 lakh shares in open interest, whereas put option added 14.50 lakh shares in open interest.

Thus open interest put-call ratio decreased to 1.36.( bearish).

Implied volatility has increased by around 150-200 basis points across
different strike prices indicating that volatility will remain high in
the coming days.
********Fund flow*** ~ September 2~

~FII index fut + 2078cr!!!!!!!!!!!

~FII stock fut – 524 cr

~FII cash +1337 cr!!!!!!!!!

~Mut cash +116 cr

*******total fund flow + 3007 cr today & nifty was up by 155 points.

****** so far net fund flow of + 3198 cr in September series. (nifty is up in September series).

***********Past fund flow**********

~ Net fund flow of +6474 cr in July series. (Nifty +18 in series, closed at 4333)

~ Net fund flow of -8071 cr in June series (Nifty -520 in series, closed at 4315)

~Net fund flow of -6641 cr in August series. (Nifty -119 in series, closed at 4214)

happy trading and investing.

-dr.jignesh shah

NIFTY ANALYSIS FOR SEPTEMBER 4

WHETHER NIFTY WILL CROSS THE 4540 OR NOT WILL DEPEND ON DOW AND CRUDE.
SO IF DOW CROSSES 11860 AND CRUDE BREAKS 106 ON CLOSING BASIS THEN AND THEN ONLY, WE WILL BE IN UPTREND, OTHERWISE CHANCES OF DOWNTREND ARE VERY VERY HIGH..........

********Technicals***** ~September 2~
Breakout from sideway trend occurs with a bang.
Now follow up buying is required to claim for uptrend.
If nifty trades and closes above 4540 then uptrend will resume with targets of 4640,4770.
But if nifty again trades below 4450 without trading above 4540 then nifty will be again sideways with downward bias.
***Nifty**** ~ September 2~
Nifty (September) future premium increased from 1.75 points
to 12.55 points. Around 12.80 lakh shares
were added in open interest with an increase in the cost of carry,
indicating long accumulation.
***Options**** ~September 2~
Nifty call option added 11.70 lakh shares in open interest, whereas
put option added 30.54 lakh shares in open interest Thus open interest put-call ratio increased to 1.39.On the option front, implied volatility
has increased marginally, which indicates that volatility will remain
high in the coming days
*******Fund flow*** ~ September 1~
~FII index fut -200cr
~FII stock fut – 64cr
~FII cash -172 cr
~Mut cash -81 cr
*******total fund flow -517 cr today & nifty was down by 11 points.
****** so far net fund flow of +191 cr in September series. (nifty is up in September series).
***********Past fund flow**********
~ Net fund flow of +6474 cr in July series. (Nifty +18 in series, closed at 4333)
~ Net fund flow of -8071 cr in June series (Nifty -520 in series, closed at 4315)
~Net fund flow of -6641 cr in August series. (Nifty -119 in series, closed at 4214)
happy trading and investing.
-dr.jignesh shah

NIFTY ANALYSIS FOR SEPTEMBER 2

********Technicals***** ~September 1~
Nifty is trading sideways between 4200-4450 since 11 days.Last 5 day high is 4369 and above it nifty will be in upmove(not uptrend) with target of 4450,4540.
***Nifty**** ~ September 1~
Nifty September future premium decreased to 2 points. Open interest decreased by 2 lacs today. ( long unwinding---bearish).
***Options**** ~September 1~
Nifty call options add 18 lacs and put options add 17 lacs in open interest. Thus open interest put-call ratio decreased to 1.33.( bearish).
********Fund flow*** ~ August 29~
~FII index fut + 1015 cr
~FII stock fut –448 cr
~FII cash -257 cr
~Mut cash +398 cr
*******total fund flow +708 cr today & nifty was up by 144 points.
******so far net fund flow of +708cr in September series. (nifty is up in September series).
***********Past fund flow**********
~ Net fund flow of +6474 cr in July series. (Nifty +18 in series, closed at 4333)
~ Net fund flow of -8071 cr in June series (Nifty -520 in series, closed at 4315)
~Net fund flow of -6641 cr in August series. (Nifty -119 in series, closed at 4214)
happy trading and investing.
-dr.jignesh shah