Wednesday, April 30, 2008

data analysis for 30th april

********Technicals***** ~29th April~
Our target of 5180 achieved today.
Support is now at 5175.

*********strong stock futures***** (www.crnindia.com)
Bombay Dyeing, Sasa Goa, Chambal Fert, Bata India, Titan, IFCI, BRFL, Nagar Fert, Channai Petro & Lichsgfin
.*******weak stock futures***** (www.crnindia.com)
Siemens, Indian Bank, India Cem, ZEEL, Shree Cem, Maruti, Grasim, Crompton Greaves, SKumars & ACC.

****Nifty**** ~29th April~
Nifty future premium increased to 23 points, so cost of carry increased. Open interest increased by 14 lakh today.( Today's trade dominated by new long position).
***Options**** ~29th April~
Nifty call options add 17 lakh and put options add 21 lakh in open interest. Thus open interest put-call ratio decreased to 1.36..

********Fund flow*** ~28th April~
~FII index fut +203 cr..(+875 cr in may series).
~FII stock fut +25 cr.(+79 cr in may series).
~FII cash +81 cr(+430 cr in may series).
~Mut cash -199 cr(-272 cr in may series).
*******total fund flow +110 cr today but nifty was down by 22 points. (divergence in fund flow and market action)
*******So far net fund flow of +1112 cr in may series. (so far nifty is up in may series from 5000-settelment price)

Tuesday, April 29, 2008

data analysis for 29th april

********Technicals***** ~28th April~
Nifty consolidating around 5100.
Target remains at 5180 which is 161% retrenchment of 4972-4628 swing.
Support is now at 5060-5000.

*********strong stock futures***** (http://www.crnindia.com/)
Chambal Fert, Nagar Fert, Bata, Lichsgfin, Bombay Dyeing, IFCI, Arvind Mill, BRFL, Sesa Goa & TTML.
.*******weak stock futures***** (www.crnindia.com)
Indian Bank, Siemens, India Cem, Maruti, ZEEL, SKumars, ACC, BILT, Shree Cem & KTK Bank.

****Nifty**** ~28th April~
Nifty future premium increased to 16 points, so cost of carry increased. Open interest increased by 7.4 lakh today.( Today's trade dominated by new long position).
***Options**** ~28th April~
Nifty call options add 7.6 lakh and put options add 7.4 lakh in open interest. Thus open interest put-call ratio decreased to 1.37.

*******Fund flow*** ~25th April~
~FII index fut +672 cr..(+672 cr in may series).
~FII stock fut +54 cr.(+54 cr in may series).
~FII cash +349 cr(+349 cr in may series).
~Mut cash -73 cr(-73 cr in may series).
*******total fund flow + 1002cr today & nifty was up by 111 points.
*******So far net fund flow of +1002 cr in April series. (so far nifty is up in may series from 5000-settelment price)
happy trading and investing.
- dr.jignesh shah

Monday, April 28, 2008

for 28th april

********Technicals***** ~25th April~
Nifty came out of sideway correction with a bang. Now uptrend is getting stronger.
Target remains at 5180 which is 161% retrenchment of 4972-4628 swing.
Support is now at 5060-5000.

*********strong stock futures***** (www.crnindia.com)
Chambal Fert, SRF, IFCI, Nagar Fert, Arvind Mill, Bombay Dyeing, MRPL, TTML, Essar Oil & BRFL.
*******weak stock futures***** (www.crnindia.com)
Indian Bank, ZEEL, India Cem, Maruti, IOC, SKumars, HCC, Shree Cem, Sobha & Hind Petro.

****Nifty**** ~25th April~ Nifty future premium increased to 14 points, so cost of carry increased. Open interest increased by 12 lakh today.( Today's trade dominated by new long position).
***Options**** ~25th April~
Nifty call options add 13 lakh and put options add 19 lakh in open interest. Thus open interest put-call ratio increased to 1.40.

Friday, April 25, 2008

25th april report

********Technicals***** ~24th April~
Nifty is in sideway correction around 5000.
Target remains at 5180 which is 161% retrenchment of 4972-4628 swing.
Support remains at 4970.

*********strong stock futures***** www.crnindia.com
IFCI, SRF, Arvind Mill, Bombay Dyeing, BRFL, Chambal Fert, Essar Oil, MRPL, TTML & APIL.
*******weak stock futures***** www.crnindia.com
Indian Bank, ZEEL, BPCL, Hind Petro, IOC, S.Kumars, Nagar Const, Maruti, Sobha & Jet Airways

****Nifty**** ~24th April~
Nifty future premium decreased to 3 points, so cost of carry decreased. Open interest decreased by 85 lakh today.( Today's trade dominated by long unwinding).

***Options**** ~24th April~
open interest put-call ratio increased to 1.39.

Thursday, April 24, 2008

REPORT FOR APRIL-24

********Technicals***** ~23rd April~
Nifty today consolidated above 5000 with struggle.(3rd closing above 5000)
Stochastic shows sell signal. Minor correction is possible.(watch rsi support line)
Target remains at 5180 which is 161% retrenchment of 4972-4628 swing.
Support is now at 5000-4970.
*****STOCK FUTURES***** (FROM WWW.CRNINDIA.COM)
~strong stock futures~
Arvind Mill, IFCI, Bombay Dyeing, BRFL, MRPL, Chambal Fert, Praj Ind., Tata Teleserve, Polaris & SRF.
~weak stock futures~
Renuka, Indian Bank, Zee, Bharat Petro, SAIL, Patel Eng, Maha Seamless, IOC, Hind Petro & Hind Petro.

****Nifty**** ~23rd April~
Nifty future discount converted to premium of 8 points, so cost of carry increased. Open interest increased by 15 lakh today.( Today's trade dominated by new long position).
Last months settlement prices---
January-5130, feb-5280, march-4830, april-???(5100/5150)
***Options**** ~23rd April~
Nifty call options add 9 lakh and put options add 14 lakh in open interest. Thus open interest put-call ratio increased to 1.36

********Fund flow*** ~22nd April~
~FII buy 255 cr index fut..(total buy of 630 cr in April series).
~FII buy 48 cr stock fut.(total buy of 275 cr in April series).
~FII buy 392 cr in cash (total buy of 662 cr in April series).
~Mut fund (data not given by sebi) in cash (total buy of 809 cr in April series).
*******So net fund flow of +695 cr and nifty was up by 12 points on 22nd .

*******So far net fund flow of +2476 cr in April series.

happy trading and investing.
- dr.jignesh shah

Tuesday, April 22, 2008

report for 23rd april

********Technicals***** ~22st April~
Nifty today consolidated above 5000.(2nd closing above 5000)
Stochastic shows overbought position. So partial profit booking is advisable. Target remains at 5180 which is 161% retrenchment of 4972-4628 swing.
Support is now at 5000-4970.

*********strong stock futures***** (from www.crnindia.com)
Chambal Fert, Bombay Dyeing, Polaris, IFCI, Nagar Fert, SRF, Praj Indus, Tata Teleserv, Tata Chem & BRFL.
*******weak stock futures***** (from www.crnindia.com)
Renuka, Zee, Patel Engg, Indian Bank, Maha Seamless, Maruti, Bharat petro, IOC, Hind Petro & Sobha.

****Nifty**** ~22st April~
Nifty future premium converted to discount of 6 points, so cost of carry decreased. Open interest increased by 11 lakh today.( Today's trade dominated by new short position).
Last months settlement prices---
January-5130, feb-5280, march-4830, april-???(5100/5150)
***Options**** ~22st April~
Nifty call options add 2 lakh and put options add 12 lakh in open interest. Thus open interest put-call ratio increased to 1.35.
********Fund flow*** ~21st April~
~FII buy 293 cr index fut..(Total buys of 375 cr in April series). There open interest increased to 8.50 lakh contracts.
~FII buy 82 cr stock fut.(total buy of 227 cr in April series). There open interest decreased to 9.55 lakh contracts.
~FII buy 277 cr in cash (total buy of 270 cr in April series).
~Mut fund buy 100 cr in cash (total buy of 809 cr in April series).
*******So net fund flow of +752 cr and nifty was up by 78 points.
*******So far net fund flow of +1681 cr in April series. (So far nifty is up in April series from 4830-settelment price)
happy trading and investing.
- dr.jignesh shah

nifty report for 22nd april

********Technicals***** ~21st April~
Nifty today rallied and closed above 5000 for the first time in 7 weeks.
Stochastic shows overbought position. So partial profit booking is advisable.
As nifty crossed 4985, wave ‘C’ is now confirmed.
Now target will be 5180 which is 161% retrachment of 4972-4628 swing.
Support is now at 5000-4930.
****Nifty**** ~21st April~
Nifty future premium increased to 6 points, so cost of carry increased. Open interest increased by 13 lakh today.( Today's trade dominated by new long position).
***Options**** ~21st April~
Nifty call options shed 1.4 lakh and put options add 17 lakh in open interest. thus open interest put-call ratio increased to 1.30.

********Fund flow*** ~17th April~
~FII buy 1264 cr index fut..(total BUY of 82 cr in April series). There open interest decreased to 8.08 lakh contracts.
~FII buy 442 cr stock fut.(total BUY of 145 cr in April series). There open interest increased to 9.62 lakh contracts.
~FII buy 699 cr in cash (total sell of 7cr in April series).
~Mut. fund sell 86 cr in cash (total buy of 709 cr in April series).
*******So net fund flow of 2319 cr and nifty was up by 70 points.

*******So far net fund flow of +929 cr in April series. (so far nifty is up in april series from 4830-settelment price)
-jignesh

Wednesday, April 16, 2008

for 17th april

********Technicals***** ~16th April~
Nifty today tried to consolidate on the gains it made in last few days.
Still it managed to close in the green.
Major resistance remains at 4950-5000 area.
Major support is at 4820-4830.
****Nifty**** ~16th April~
Nifty future premium converted to discount of 2 points, so cost of carry decreased. Open interest increased by 2 lakh today.( Today's trade dominated by new short position).
***Options**** ~16th April~
Nifty call options add 20.7 lakh and put options add 20 lakh in open interest. thus open interest put-call ratio decreased to 1.24.
Implied volatility came down to 27% which is lowest in last 3 months. So nifty will come out of range very soon.

********Fund flow*** ~15th April~
~FII sell 745 cr index fut..(total sell of 1406 cr in April series). There open interest increased to 8.05 lakh contracts.
~FII sell 361 cr stock fut.(total sell of 437 cr in April series). There open interest increased to 9.44 lakh contracts.
~FII buy 81 cr in cash (total sell of 709 cr in April series).
~Mut fund buy 122 cr in cash (total buy of 1054 cr in April series).
*******So net fund flow of -903 cr and nifty was up by 102 points. (So negative divergence in market action and fund flow.)

*******So far net fund flow of -1498 cr in April series. (‘BUT’ nifty is UP in april series now from 4830-settelment price)
-jignesh

Tuesday, April 15, 2008

nifty chart and data analysis for 16th april

chart shows uptrend of nifty-


****Nifty**** ~11th April~
Nifty future discount converted into premium of 18 points, so cost of carry increased. Open interest decreased by 10 lakh today.( Today's trade dominated by short covering).
***Options**** ~11th April~
Nifty call options add 5 lakh and put options add 10 lakh in open interest. thus open interest put-call ratio increased to 1.27.

********Fund flow*** ~11th April~
~FII buy 1123 cr index fut..(total sell of 661 cr in April series).
~FII sell 8 cr stock fut.(total sell 76 cr in April series).
~FII sell 31 cr in cash (total sell of 790 cr in April series).
~Mut fund buy 173 cr in cash (total buy of 932 cr in April series).
*******So net fund flow of +1257 cr and nifty was up by 44 points.

*******So far net fund flow of -635 cr in April series upto 11th april.

Monday, April 14, 2008

Data analysis for 15th April

****Nifty**** ~11th April~
Nifty future discount decreased to 7 points, so cost of carry increased. Open interest decreased by 6 lakh today.( Today's trade dominated by short covering).
***Options**** ~11th April~
Nifty call options add 12 lakh and put options add 24 lakh in open interest. thus open interest put-call ratio increased to 1.25.

********Fund flow*** ~10th April~
~FII sell 265 cr index fut..(total sell of 1784 cr in April series). There open interest increased to 7.87 lakh contracts.
~FII buy 27 cr stock fut.(total sell of 68 cr in April series). There open interest increased to 9.34 lakh contracts.
~FII sell 315 cr in cash (total sell of 759 cr in April series).
~Mut fund buy 317 cr in cash (total buy of 721 cr in April series).

*******So net fund flow of -236 cr and nifty was down by 14 points.
*******So far net fund flow of -1892 cr in April series. (so far nifty is down in april series from 4830-settelment price)

Friday, April 11, 2008

nifty diagnosis-11th april

nifty future chart--
shows triangle again, breakout will give direction.
****Nifty**** ~10th April~
Nifty future discount increased to 11 points, so cost of carry increased. Open interest increased by 5 lakh today.( Today's trade dominated by new short position).
***Options**** ~10th April~
Nifty call options shed 0.25 lakh and put options add 5 lakh in open interest. thus open interest put-call ratio increased to 1.20.

********Fund flow*** ~9th April~
~FII sell 502 cr index fut. .( -1519 cr in April series)
~FII buy 235cr stock fut. ( -95 cr in April series)
~FII sell 173cr in cash (-444 cr in April series).
~Mut fund buy 214 cr in cash (+ 404 cr in April series).
*******So net fund flow of -226 cr and nifty was up by 37points. (So negative divergence in market action and fund flow.)
*******So far net fund flow of -1656 cr in April series. (so far nifty is down in april series from 4830-settelment price)

Thursday, April 10, 2008

data analysis for 10th april

****Nifty**** ~9th April~
Nifty future discount decreased to 7 points, so cost of carry increased. Open interest increased by 3 lakh today.( Today's trade dominated by new long position).
***Options**** ~9th April~
Nifty call options add 6lakh and put options add 7lakh in open interest. thus open interest put-call ratio remains at 1.16.

********Fund flow*** ~4th April~
~FII sell 517 cr index fut.
~FII sell 140 cr stock fut.
~FII buy 1352 cr in cash.
~Mut fund sell 162 cr in cash.
*******So net fund flow of +533cr on 4th April but nifty was down by 124 points on that day. (So divergence in market action and fund flow.)
********Fund flow*** ~7th April~
~FII buy 292cr index fut.
~FII buy 19 cr stock fut.
~FII buy 374cr in cash.
~Mut fund sell 40 cr in cash.
*******So net fund flow of +725cr on 7th April and nifty was up by 114 points on that day.

********Fund flow*** ~8th April~
~FII buy 240cr index fut..
~FII sell 55cr stock fut.
~FII sell 148cr in cash ( -271cr in April series).
~Mut fund buy 90cr in cash (+188cr in April series).
*******So net fund flow of +127cr on 8th April but nifty was down by 51 points on that day. (So divergence in market action and fund flow.)
*******So far net fund flow of -1430cr in April series.(so far nifty is down in april series from 4830-settelment price)

********Fund flow*** ~9th April~
~FII sell 502 cr index fut. .( -1519cr in April series)
~FII buy 235cr stock fut. ( -95 cr in April series)
----jignesh.

Friday, April 4, 2008

data analysis for 7 april

****nifty---4 april
nifty future premium decreased to 5 points so cost of carry decreased. open interest increased by 12 lacs today.( today's trade dominated by new short position).
***options----4 april
nifty call options add 20 lakh and put options add 5 lakh in open interest. thus open interest put-call ratio decreased at 1.12.
**** FII derivative data—3 april
FII buy 250 cr index fut..(total sell of 1032 cr in april series). there open interest decreased to 7.66 lacs contracts.
FII sell 28 cr stock fut. .(total sell of 154 cr in april series). there open interest increased to 9.02 lacs contracts.
********fund flow***3 april
-FII sell 538cr in cash (total sell of 1849 cr in april series).
-mut fund sell 69 cr (total buy of 300 cr in march series).
So net negative fund flow of 2735 cr in april series so far(fii cash+index+stock+mut) upto 3 april.
-jignesh

data analysis for 4 april

chart shows the consolidation phase.
dotted lines are supports and resistance.
now let us see the data for today.
****nifty---3 april
nifty future premium increased to 13 points so cost of carry increased. open interest decreased by 5 lacs today.( today's trade dominated by short covering).
***options----3 april
nifty call options add 6.7 lakh and put options add 10.7 lakh in open interest. thus open interest put-call ratio increased at 1.26.
**** FII derivative data—2 april
FII buy 1583 cr index fut..(total sell of 1282 cr in april series). there open interest decreased to 7.82 lacs contracts.
FII buy 164 cr stock fut. .(total sell of 154 cr in april series). there open interest increased to 9.00 lacs contracts.
********fund flow***2 april
-FII sell 20cr in cash (total sell of 1311 cr in april series).
-mut fund sell 128 cr (total buy of 231 cr in march series).

Thursday, April 3, 2008

data analysis for 3 april

****nifty---2 april
nifty future premium decreased to 3 points so cost of carry decreased. open interest decreased by 44 lacs today.( today's trade dominated by long unwinding).
***options----2 april
nifty call options add 6.3 lakh and put options add 8 lakh in open interest. thus open interest put-call ratio remains at 1.25.
**** FII derivative data—1 april
FII sold 1020 cr index fut..(total sell of 2865 cr in april series). there open interest increased to 8.14 lacs contracts.
FII buy 52 cr stock fut. .(total sell of 318 cr in april series). there open interest increased to 8.89 lacs contracts.
********fund flow***1 april
-FII buy 1188cr in cash (total sell of 1291 cr in april series).
-mut fund sell 284 cr (total buy of 103 cr in march series).

Tuesday, April 1, 2008

data analysis for april 2

****nifty---1 april
nifty future turned into premium of 32 points so cost of carry increased. open interest increased by 50 lacs today.( today's trade dominated by new long position).
***options----1 april
nifty call options shed 2.4 lakh and put options add 3.6 lakh in open interest. thus open interest put-call ratio decreased to 1.25.
**** FII derivative data--31 march
FII sold 1471 cr index fut. on 28th march.(total sell of 1845 cr in april series). there open interest increased to 7.89 lacs contracts.
FII sold 186 cr stock fut. on 28 th march.(total sell of 370 cr in april series). there open interest increased to 8.82 lacs contracts.
********fund flow***31 march
-FII buy 11cr in cash (total sell of 103 cr in april series).
-mut fund data not available (total buy of 377 cr in march series).