Friday, August 29, 2008

NIFTY ANALYSIS FOR SEPT 1

********Technicals*****
Nifty is trading sideways between 4200-4450.
Middle point is 4325.
So be bullish above 4325 or at 4200,
and be bearish below 4325 or near 4450.
***Nifty**** ~ August 29~
Nifty September future premium increased to 12 points. Open interest increased by 5 lacs today. (new long---bullish).
***Options**** August 29~
Nifty call options add 22 lacs and put options add 32 lacs in open interest. Thus open interest put-call ratio increased to 1.37.( bullish).
********Fund flow*** ~ August 28~
~FII index fut -376cr
~FII stock fut –142 cr
~FII cash +144 cr
~Mut cash -59 cr
*******total fund flow -433 cr today & nifty was down by 78 points.
****** net fund flow of -6641 cr in August series. (nifty was down in August series).
***********Past fund flow**********
~ Net fund flow of +6474 cr in July series. (Nifty +18 in series, closed at 4333)
~ Net fund flow of -8071 cr in June series (Nifty -520 in series, closed at 4315)
~Net fund flow of -6641 cr in August series. (Nifty -119 in series, closed at 4214)
happy trading and investing.
-dr.jignesh shah

for august 29

********Technicals*****
Nifty is trading sideways between 4200-4450.
Middle point is 4325..

***Nifty**** ~ August 28~
Nifty September future discount converted to premium of 9 points. Open interest decreased by 70 lacs today. (short covering---bullish).
***Options**** August 28~
new series open interest put-call ratio is at 1.36
********Fund flow*** ~ August 27~
~FII index fut +224cr
~FII stock fut +168 cr
~FII cash +280 cr
~Mut cash +1 cr
*******total fund flow +673 cr today & nifty was down by 44 points.
*******So far net fund flow of -6208 cr in August series. (So far nifty is down in August series)

Wednesday, August 27, 2008

FOR AUGUST 28

********Technicals*****
Nifty is trading sideways between 4200-4450.
Today triangle breaks on the downside so more downside is possible.
***Nifty**** ~ August 27~
Nifty august future premium converted to discount of 2 points. Open interest increased by 2 lacs today. ( new short---bearish).
***Options**** August 27~
Nifty call options add 14 lacs and put options add 0.6 lacs in open interest. Thus open interest put-call ratio decreased to 1.03.(bearish).

********Fund flow*** ~ August 26~
~FII index fut +8 cr
~FII stock fut –24 cr
~FII cash -506 cr
~Mut cash 81 cr
*******total fund flow -441 cr today & nifty was up by 2 points.
*******So far net fund flow of -6881 cr in August series. (So far nifty was up in August series)
***********Past fund flow**********
~ Net fund flow of +6474 cr in July series. (Nifty +18 in series, closed at 4333)
~ Net fund flow of -8071 cr in June series (Nifty -520 in series, closed at 4315)

happy trading and investing.
-dr.jignesh shah

FOR AUGUST 27


********Technicals*****
Nifty is trading sideways between 4200-4450 but now with positive bias.
Three attempts to break market downward had failed at 4316,4235,and 4280.
Today long lower shadow formed which is very bullish.

***Nifty**** ~ August 26~
Nifty august future premium increased to 12 points. Open interest increased by 13 lacs today. ( new long---bullish)

********Fund flow*** ~ August 25~
~FII index fut +737 cr
~FII stock fut +178 cr
~FII cash +94 cr
~Mut cash +14 cr
*******total fund flow +1023 cr today & nifty was up by 7 points.
*******So far net fund flow of -6440 cr in August series. (So far nifty is up in August series)
***********Past fund flow**********
~ Net fund flow of +6474 cr in July series. (Nifty +18 in series, closed at 4333)
~ Net fund flow of -8071 cr in June series (Nifty -520 in series, closed at 4315)

happy trading and investing.
-dr.jignesh shah

Monday, August 25, 2008

NIFTY ANALYSIS FOR AUGUST 26


********Technicals*****
Nifty is trading sideways between 4200-4450.
Today long upper shadow formed which is very bearish.
***Nifty**** ~ August 25~
Nifty august future discount converted to premium of 1.6 points. Open interest decreased by 0.3 lacs today. ( short covering---bullish)
***Options**** August 25~
Nifty call options shed 4 lacs and put options add 15 lacs in open interest. Thus open interest put-call ratio increased to 1.07.(bullish) implied volatility increased by 250-300 basis points(bearish)
********Fund flow*** ~ August 22~
~FII index fut -507 cr
~FII stock fut – 16 cr
~FII cash -121 cr
~Mut cash + 181 cr
*******total fund flow - 463 cr today & still nifty was up by 43 points.
*******So far net fund flow of -7463 cr in August series. (So far nifty is down in August series)
***********Past fund flow**********
~ Net fund flow of +6474 cr in July series. (Nifty +18 in series, closed at 4333)
~ Net fund flow of -8071 cr in June series. (Nifty -520 in series, closed at 4315)

happy trading and investing.
-dr.jignesh shah

Saturday, August 23, 2008

FOR AUGUST 25

********Technicals*****
Nifty will be sideways between 4200-4450 for some time with downward bias.

***Nifty**** ~ August 22~
Nifty august future premium converted to discount of 3 points. Open interest decreased by 3 lacs today. ( long unwinding---bearish)
***Options**** August 22~
Nifty call options add 3.4 lacs and put options add 6.5 lacs in open interest. Thus open interest put-call ratio increased to 1.02.(bullish)

********Fund flow*** ~ August 21~
~FII index fut -1177 cr!!!!!!!!!!!!!
~FII stock fut – 10 cr
~FII cash -278 cr
~Mut cash -98 cr
*******total fund flow -1563 cr today & nifty was down by 130 points.
*******So far net fund flow of -7000 cr in August series. (So far nifty is down in August series).so fund flow suggest more downside is possible.

***********Past fund flow**********
~ Net fund flow of +6474 cr in July series. (Nifty +18 in series, closed at 4333)
~ Net fund flow of -8071 cr in June series (Nifty -520 in series, closed at 4315)

happy trading and investing.
-dr.jignesh shah

Thursday, August 21, 2008

NIFTY ANALYSIS FOR AUGUST 22

********Technicals*****
Nifty uptrend gets terminated today.
Much needed close above 4440 did not happen which I was insisting since 3 days.
Best possibility is that nifty will be sideways between 4200-4450 for some time with downward bias..

***Nifty**** ~ August 21~
Nifty august future premium decreased to 3 points. Open interest increased by 4 lacs today. ( new short---bearish)
***Options**** August 21~
Nifty call options add 27 lacs and put options add 0.5 lacs in open interest. Thus open interest put-call ratio decreased to 1.01.(bearish)

********Fund flow*** ~ August 20~
~FII index fut +406 cr
~FII stock fut – 392 cr
~FII cash – 285 cr
~Mut cash + 78 cr
*******total fund flow - 193 cr today & nifty was up by 48 points.
*******So far net fund flow of - 5437 cr in August series. (So far nifty is up in August series)
***********Past fund flow**********
~ Net fund flow of +6474 cr in July series. (Nifty +18 in series, closed at 4333)
~ Net fund flow of -8071 cr in June series (Nifty -520 in series, closed at 4315)

happy trading and investing.
-dr.jignesh shah

FOR AUGUST 21


********Technicals*****
Nifty is in uptrend.
Correction seems to be over but close above 4440 is reqired for confirmation.
Resistance will be at 8 dma at 4440
Support will be at 34 dma at 4381.

***Nifty**** ~ August 20~
Nifty august future premium decreased to 20 points. Open interest increased by 3 lacs today. ( new short---bearish)

*******Fund flow*** ~ August 18~
~FII index fut + 32cr
~FII stock fut – 24cr
~FII cash - cr
~Mut cash -8 cr
*******total fund flow +0 cr today & nifty was down by 38 points.
********Fund flow*** ~ August 19~
~FII index fut –1188 cr!!!!!!!!!
~FII stock fut –328 cr
~FII cash - 1136cr!!!!!!!!!!
~Mut cash - 136cr
*******total fund flow - 2788 cr today & nifty was down by 24 points.
*******So far net fund flow of -5244 cr in August series. (So far nifty is up in August series)

***********Past fund flow**********
~ Net fund flow of +6474 cr in July series. (Nifty +18 in series, closed at 4333)
~ Net fund flow of -8071 cr in June series (Nifty -520 in series, closed at 4315)

happy trading and investing.
-dr.jignesh shah

Wednesday, August 20, 2008

NIFTY ANALYSIS FOR 20-08/20 08


********Technicals*****
Nifty is in uptrend and is correcting downwards.
Correction seems to be over.
Fibo. Targets for correction were 4453(achieved), 4405(achieved),4357(achieved).
Resistance will be at 8 dma at 4447
Support will be at 34 dma at 4379.

***Nifty**** ~ August 19~
Nifty august future premium increased to 22 points. Open interest increased by 10 lacs today. ( new long---bullish)
***Options**** August 19~
Nifty call options add 19 lacs and put options add 3 lacs in open interest. Thus open interest put-call ratio decreased to 1.09.(bearish)

Monday, August 18, 2008

NIFTY ANALYSIS FOR AUGUST 19


********Technicals*****
Nifty is in uptrend and is correcting downwards.
Fibo. Targets for correction are 4453(achieved), 4405(achieved),4357.
Resistance will be at 8 dma at 4469
Support will be at 34 dma at 4379.

***Nifty**** ~ August 18~

Nifty august future premium increased to 16 points. Open interest increased by 8 lacs today. ( new long---bullish)
***Options**** August 18~
Nifty call options add 4 lacs and put options add 1 lacs in open interest. Thus open interest put-call ratio decreased to 1.14.(bearish)

********Fund flow*** ~ August 14~
~FII index fut – 859cr
~FII stock fut – 223 cr
~FII cash -396cr
~Mut cash - 419cr
*******total fund flow - 1897 cr today & nifty was down by 98 points.
*******So far net fund flow of - 2456 cr in August series. (So far nifty is up in August series)
***********Past fund flow**********
~ Net fund flow of +6474 cr in July series. (Nifty +18 in series, closed at 4333)
~ Net fund flow of -8071 cr in June series (Nifty -520 in series, closed at 4315)

happy trading and investing.
-dr.jignesh shah

Thursday, August 14, 2008

NIFTY ANALYSIS FOR AUGUST 18



********Technicals*****
Nifty is in uptrend and is correcting downwards.
Fibo. Targets for correction are 4453, 4405,4357.
Resistance will be at 8 dma at 4491.
Support will be at 34 dma at 4379.

***Nifty**** ~ August 14~
Nifty august future premium decreased to 6 points. Open interest increased by 10.6 lacs today. ( new short---bearish)
***Options**** August 14~
Nifty call options add 15.6 lacs and put options shed 11 lacs in open interest. Thus open interest put-call ratio decreased to 1.15.(bearish)

********Fund flow*** ~ August 13~

~FII index fut –550cr

~FII stock fut –203cr

~FII cash -646 cr

~Mut cash - 175cr
*******total fund flow - 1574 cr today & nifty was down by 23 points.
*******So far net fund flow of -559 cr in August series. (So far nifty is up in August series!!!!!!!!)
***********Past fund flow**********
~ Net fund flow of +6474 cr in July series. (Nifty +18 in series, closed at 4333)
~ Net fund flow of -8071 cr in June series (Nifty -520 in series, closed at 4315)

happy trading and investing.
-dr.jignesh shah

NIFTY ANALYSIS FOR AUGUST 14

Sometimes the best trades are not the winning ones that put money in your pocket; sometimes they are the ones that get you out of the market at the right time. ~ Phil Flynn



********Technicals*****
Nifty is in uptrend and is correcting downwards.

***Nifty**** ~ August 13~
Nifty august future premium increased to 21 points. Open interest decreased by 9 lacs today. ( long unwinding------ bullish)
***Options**** August 13~
open interest put-call ratio decreased to 1.24.(bearish)

********Fund flow*** ~ August 12~
~FII index fut – 767 cr

~FII stock fut –213 cr

~FII cash – 402 cr

~Mut cash - 266 cr
*******total fund flow - 1648 cr today & nifty was down by 68 points.
*******So far net fund flow of +1015 cr in August series. (So far nifty is up in August series)

Tuesday, August 12, 2008

FOR AUGUST 13

Sometimes the best trades are not the winning ones that put money in your pocket; sometimes they are the ones that get you out of the market at the right time. ~ Phil Flynn



********Technicals*****
Nifty is in uptrend but now in danger.
engulfing bear formed today which is bearish.


****Nifty**** ~ August 12~
Nifty august future premium decreased to 8 points. Open interest decreased by 2 lacs today. ( long unwinding------ bearish)
***Options**** August 12~
Nifty call options add 15.5 lacs and put options add 0.5 lacs in open interest. Thus open interest put-call ratio decreased to 1.30.(bearish)

********Fund flow*** ~ August 11~
~FII index fut + 445 cr
~FII stock fut + 27 cr
~FII cash +410 cr
~Mut cash +455 cr
*******total fund flow +1337 cr today & nifty was up by 91 points.
*******So far net fund flow of +2663 cr in August series. (So far nifty is up in August series).
***********Past fund flow**********
~ Net fund flow of +6474 cr in July series. (Nifty +18 in series, closed at 4333)
~ Net fund flow of -8071 cr in June series (Nifty -520 in series, closed at 4315)

happy trading and investing.
-dr.jignesh shah

Monday, August 11, 2008

NIFTY ANALYSIS FOR AUGUST 12




********Technicals*****
Nifty is in uptrend.
Above 4560, nifty resumed its uptrend again.
Now 4560-4580 will be support area and 4470 will be solid support.
Target remains at 4770.

****Nifty**** ~ August 11~
Nifty august future premium decreased to 13 points. Open interest increased by 15 lacs today. ( new short------ bearish)

***Options**** August 11~
Nifty call options add 10.3 lacs and put options add 28 lacs in open interest. Thus open interest put-call ratio increased to 1.37.(bullish)
********Fund flow*** ~ August 8~
~FII index fut – 462 cr

~FII stock fut – 483 cr

~FII cash + 79 cr

~Mut cash - 131 cr
*******total fund flow - 997 cr today but nifty was up by 6 points!!!!!!!!!!!.
*******So far net fund flow of +1326 cr in August series. (So far nifty is up in August series).


***********Past fund flow**********
~ Net fund flow of +6474 cr in July series. (Nifty +18in series, closed at 4333)
~ Net fund flow of -8071 cr in June series (Nifty -520 in series, closed at 4315)

happy trading and investing.
-dr.jignesh shah

Friday, August 8, 2008

NIFTY ANALYSIS FOR AUGUST 11


********Technicals*****
Nifty is in uptrend and is correcting sideways.
Doji formed today which suggest confusion in market.
Nifty is correcting sideways in 4450-4600 is very bullish.
Above 4560 nifty will resume its uptrend again.

****Nifty**** ~ August 8~
Nifty august future premium increased to 17 points. Open interest increased by 9 lacs today. ( new long ------ bullish)
***Options**** August 8~
Nifty call options add 10.7 lacs and put options add 11.7 lacs in open interest. Thus open interest put-call ratio decreased to 1.32.(bearish)

********Fund flow*** ~ August 7~
~FII index fut + 118 cr
~FII stock fut – 277 cr
~FII cash -19 cr
~Mut cash -22 cr
*******total fund flow - 200 cr today but nifty was up by 6 points.
*******So far net fund flow of + 2323 cr in August series. (So far nifty is up in August series).
***********Past fund flow**********
~ Net fund flow of +6474 cr in July series. (Nifty +15 in series, closed at 4333)
~ Net fund flow of -8071 cr in June series (Nifty -520 in series, closed at 4315)

happy trading and investing.
-dr.jignesh shah

Thursday, August 7, 2008

NIFTY ANALYSIS FOR 8-8-8


********Technicals*****
Nifty is in uptrend.
Another long upper shadow formed today which is bearish.
Nifty seems to be consolidating it’s recent gain by trading in a range of 4450-4600. below it 4360 remains as solid support.

****Nifty**** ~ August 7~
Nifty august future premium decreased to 7 points. Open interest increased by 13 lacs today. ( new short ------ bearish)
***Options**** August 7~
Nifty call options add 10 lacs and put options add 16 lacs in open interest. Thus open interest put-call ratio increased to 1.33.(bullish)

This is list of 10 Strong Future Stocks:
Kesora mind, Ansal infra, PFC Triveni, IDBI, Penin Land, Bongairefn, MRPL, Essar Oil & DLF.
This is the list of 10 Weak Futures:
R.Com, NDTV, Nagar Const, Sun TV, Aban, Amtek, BEL, Finan Tech ,Strlin bio & GTL.
********Fund flow*** ~ August 6~
~FII index fut + 2332 cr!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
~FII stock fut – 153 cr
~FII cash + 1628 cr!!!!!!!!!!!!!
~Mut cash -383 cr
*******total fund flow +3424 cr today & nifty was up by 14 points.
*******So far net fund flow of +2523 cr in August series. (So far nifty is up in August series)
***********Past fund flow**********
~ Net fund flow of +6474 cr in July series. (Nifty +15 in series, closed at 4333)
~ Net fund flow of -8071 cr in June series (Nifty -520 in series, closed at 4315)

happy trading and investing.
-dr.jignesh shah

Wednesday, August 6, 2008

NIFTY ANALYSIS FOR AUGUST 7

********Technicals*****
Nifty is in uptrend.
Today nifty traded above 4539 but does not close above it.
Long upper shadow also formed today which is bearish.
I said that profit booking can come and it came today at higher levels, so time being nifty will be in range of 4450-4600 and 4360 will be solid support.
****Nifty**** ~ August 6~
Nifty august future premium decreased to 9 points. Open interest increased by 9 lacs today. ( new short ------ bearish)
***Options**** August 6~
Nifty call options add 24 lacs and put options add 23.7 lacs in open interest. Thus open interest put-call ratio decreased to 1.32.(bearish)
********Fund flow*** ~ August 5~
~FII index fut + 1012 cr
~FII stock fut – 506 cr
~FII cash + 64 cr
~Mut cash + 198 cr
*******total fund flow +768 cr today & nifty was up by 107 points.
*******So far net fund flow of -901 cr in August series. (So far nifty is up in August series).
***********Past fund flow**********
~ Net fund flow of +6474 cr in July series. (Nifty +15 in series, closed at 4333)
~ Net fund flow of -8071 cr in June series (Nifty -520 in series, closed at 4315)
happy trading and investing.
-dr.jignesh shah

Tuesday, August 5, 2008

NIFTY ANALYSIS FOR AUGUST 6


''''BEARS WILL BE CRUSHED BY BULLS TODAY'''

********Technicals*****
Nifty is in uptrend.
Level of 4539 is crucial and above 4539 target is at 4770.
But profit booking can come at current level as stochastics is at overbought level.
****Nifty**** ~ August 5~
Nifty august future premium increased to 25 points!!!!!!!. Open interest increased by 7 lacs today. ( new long ------ bullish)
***Options**** August 5~
Nifty call options add 10 lacs and put options add 28 lacs in open interest. Thus open interest put-call ratio increased to 1.35.(bullish)

********Fund flow*** ~ August 4~
~FII index fut –227cr
~FII stock fut – 348cr
~FII cash -401 cr
~Mut cash -304 cr
*******total fund flow -1280 cr today & nifty was down by 18 points.
*******So far net fund flow of -1669 cr in August series. (So far nifty is up in August series!!!!!!!!!)
***********Past fund flow**********
~ Net fund flow of +6474 cr in July series. (Nifty +15 in series, closed at 4333)
~ Net fund flow of -8071 cr in June series (Nifty -520 in series, closed at 4315)

happy trading and investing.
-dr.jignesh shah

NIFTY INTRADAY ANALYSIS


nifty and RSI in triangle.
breakout will provide trading opportunity.

NIFTY ANALYSIS FOR AUGUST 5



********Technicals*****
Nifty is in uptrend.
Profit booking correction can come again.
Target of 4500 achieved and above it target remains at 4700.
****Nifty**** ~ August 4~
Nifty august future premium decreased to 10 points. Open interest increased by 2 lacs today. ( new short ------bearish)
***Options**** August 4~
Nifty call options add 18 lacs and put options add 9 lacs in open interest. Thus open interest put-call ratio decreased to 1.28.(bearish)

********Fund flow*** ~ August 1~
~FII index fut + 460 cr
~FII stock fut –733 cr
~FII cash -342 cr
~Mut cash +226 cr
*******total fund flow -389 cr today but nifty was up by 81 points.
*******So far net fund flow of -389 cr in August series. (So far nifty is up in August series)
***********Past fund flow**********
~ Net fund flow of +6474 cr in July series. (Nifty +15 in series, closed at 4333)
~ Net fund flow of -8071 cr in June series (Nifty -520 in series, closed at 4315)

happy trading and investing.
-dr.jignesh shah

Friday, August 1, 2008

NIFTY ANALYSIS FOR AUGUST 4



********Technicals*****
Nifty is in uptrend.
Target of 4500 achieved and above it target remains at 4700.
Above 4500, fibo. level of 161.8% comes at 5002.
****Nifty**** ~ August 1~
Nifty august future premium increased to 19 points. Open interest increased by 20 lacs today. ( new long ------bullish)
***Options**** August 1~
Nifty call options add 13 lacs and put options add 28 lacs in open interest. Thus open interest put-call ratio increased to 1.35.(bullish)
********Fund flow*** ~July 31~
~FII index fut + 504 cr
~FII stock fut + 258 cr
~FII cash +597 cr
~Mut cash +189 cr
*******total fund flow +1548 cr today & nifty was up by 19 points.
******* Net fund flow of +6474 cr in July series.
******* Net fund flow of -8071 cr in June series
happy trading and investing.
-dr.jignesh shah

FOR AUGUST 1


********Technicals*****
Nifty is in uptrend.
Target of 4500 achieved and above it target remains at 4700. We may go higher also.
****Nifty**** ~ July 31~
Nifty august future premium decreased to 4 points. Open interest decreased by 102 lacs today. (long unwinding ------bearish)
***Options**** July 31~
open interest put-call ratio decreased to 1.30.(bearish)

********Fund flow*** ~July 30~
~FII index fut + 1433 cr
~FII stock fut +14 cr
~FII cash -392 cr
~Mut cash +690 cr
*******total fund flow +1745 cr today & nifty was up by 124 points.
*******So far net fund flow of +4926 cr in July series.
******* Net fund flow of -8071 cr in June series