FOR OCT 31

******Trading system for NIFTY
Ø 3d LMA- 2470, 3d HMA- 2687.
3d SMA- 2635, 8d SMA- 2857, 34d SMA- 3619.
Ø ~BIAS – positive, MOMENTUM – negative, TREND – negative.
Ø STRATEGY-
*New call- No new call generated.
*Open position- close shorts as bias turned positive.
Ø STOPLOSS-
*for shorts--- stopprd out.
*for longs---2470.

***Fund flow (October 27)
~FIIs net in Index fut. + 482 cr, FIIs net in Stock Fut. + 285 cr
~FIIs in Cash Market - 1011 cr, Mut Funds in Cash Market + 503 cr
***total fund flow + 259 cr today & nifty was down by 60 points.

***Fund flow (October 28)
~FIIs net in Index fut. + 309 cr, FIIs net in Stock Fut. + 65 cr
~FIIs in Cash Market - 0 cr, Mut Funds in Cash Market + 15 cr
***total fund flow + 389 cr today & nifty was up by 160 points.
*** So far net fund flow of - 11355 cr in October series. (Nifty is also down in October series).

FOR OCT 29

**************************HAPPY NEW YEAR***********************

******Trading system for NIFTY
Ø 3d LMA- 2435, 3d HMA- 2739.
3d SMA- 2598, 8d SMA- 2904, 34d SMA- 3671.
Ø ~BIAS – neutral, MOMENTUM – negative, TREND – negative.
Ø STRATEGY-
*New call- No new call generated.
*Open position- Hold shorts with closing stop at 2739.It is time to tighten your stop as bias turned neutral
Ø STOPLOSS-
*for shorts--- 2739.
*for longs---2435.

FOR OCT 28

******Trading system for NIFTY
Ø 3d LMA- 2565, 3d HMA- 2869.
3d SMA- 2685, 8d SMA- 2977, 34d SMA- 3724.
Ø ~BIAS – negative, MOMENTUM – negative, TREND – negative.
Ø STRATEGY-
*New call- No new call generated.
*Open position- Hold shorts with closing stop at 2869.
Ø STOPLOSS-
*for shorts--- 2869.
*for longs---stopped out
***Fund flow (October 24)
~FIIs net in Index fut. - 1034 cr, FIIs net in Stock Fut. + 205 cr
~FIIs in Cash Market - 1178 cr, Mut Funds in Cash Market - 319 cr
***total fund flow – 2326 cr today & nifty down by 359 points.
*** So far net fund flow of - 12003 cr in October series. (Nifty is also down in October series).

FOR OCT 27

******Trading system for NIFTY
Ø 3d LMA- 2932, 3d HMA- 3086.
3d SMA- 2864, 8d SMA- 3079, 34d SMA- 3778.
Ø ~BIAS – negative, MOMENTUM – negative, TREND – negative.
Ø STRATEGY-
*New call- No new call generated.
*Open position- Hold shorts with closing stop at 3086.
Ø STOPLOSS-
*for shorts at 3086.
*for longs stopped out

***Fund flow (October 23)
~FIIs net in Index fut. - 385 cr, FIIs net in Stock Fut. + 26 cr
~FIIs in Cash Market - 347 cr, Mut Funds in Cash Market - 81 cr
***total fund flow – 787 cr today & nifty down by 122 points.
*** So far net fund flow of - 9677 cr in October series. (Nifty is also down in October series).

FOR OCT 24

******************TREND AND MOMENTUM CHART
******************* BIAS CHART

******Trading system for NIFTY
Ø 3d LMA- 3029, 3d HMA- 3192.
3d SMA- 3081, 8d SMA- 3195, 34d SMA- 3833.
Ø ~BIAS – negative, MOMENTUM – negative, TREND – negative.
Ø STRATEGY-
*New call- No new call generated.
*Open position- Hold shorts with closing stop at 3192.
Ø STOPLOSS-
*for shorts at 3192.
*for longs stopped out.
***Fund flow (October 22)
~FIIs net in Index fut. - 1057 cr, FIIs net in Stock Fut. - 4 cr
~FIIs in Cash Market - 273 cr, Mut Funds in Cash Market + 18 cr
***total fund flow – 1316 cr today & nifty down by 170 points.
*** So far net fund flow of - 8890 cr in October series. (Nifty is also down in October series).

FOR OCT 23

******Trading system for NIFTY
Ø 3d LMA- 3076, 3d HMA- 3243.
3d SMA- 3141, 8d SMA- 3264, 34d SMA- 3879.
Ø ~BIAS – negative, MOMENTUM – negative, TREND – negative.
Ø STRATEGY-
*New call- sell nifty as bias turned negative today.
*Open position- Hold shorts with closing stop at 3243.
Ø STOPLOSS-
*for shorts at 3243.
*for longs stopped out

***Fund flow (October 21)
~FIIs net in Index fut. + 608 cr, FIIs net in Stock Fut. + 392 cr
~FIIs in Cash Market + 114 cr, Mut Funds in Cash Market + 602 cr
***total fund flow + 1716 cr today & nifty was up by 112 points.
*** So far net fund flow of - 7574 cr in October series. (Nifty is also down in October series).

FOR OCT 22

***Technicals
Nifty is in terminal phase of downtrend and now it seems that nifty will trade sideways in 3050-3500 range for some time.
Nifty is in process of intermediate bottom formation.
So far bottom is formed at 3047.
******Trading system for NIFTY
3d LMA- 3074, 3d HMA- 3276.
3d SMA- 3155, 8d SMA- 3291, 34d SMA- 3917.
~BIAS – neutral, MOMENTUM – negative, TREND – negative.
~STRATEGY-no new call generated. (Hold shorts with closing stop at 3276)
~stoploss for shorts at 3276.It is time to tighten your stop if you are short as bias turned neutral.
~stoploss for longs at 3074.
***Derivatives (October 21)
-Nifty (October) future premium decreased to 7 points and around 15 lakh shares were added in open interest with decrease in the cost of carry, indicating new shorts at higher levels.

-Nifty call option shed 10.5 lakh shares in open interest, whereas put option add 27.5 lakh shares in open interest. Thus open interest put-call ratio increased to 0.78.

-Implied volatility has decreased by 1000 points which indicate stability in the coming days.

***Fund flow (October 20)
~FIIs net in Index fut. + 461 cr, FIIs net in Stock Fut. + 219 cr
~FIIs in Cash Market - 840 cr, Mut Funds in Cash Market + 219 cr
***total fund flow + 59 cr today & nifty was up by 48 points.
*** So far net fund flow of - 9290 cr in October series. (Nifty is also down in October series).
***Past fund flow

-8071 cr in June series (-520),+6474 cr in July series (+18), -6641 cr in August series (-119), -6903 cr in September series (-104)& closed at 4110.(-15141 cr from May closing of 4835)
Happy trading and investing.
-Dr.Jignesh Shah

FOR OCT 21

******Trading system for NIFTY
3d LMA- 3068, 3d HMA- 3303.
3d SMA- 3155, 8d SMA- 3326, 34d SMA- 3950.
~BIAS – neutral, MOMENTUM – negative, TREND – negative.
~STRATEGY-no new call generated. (Hold shorts with closing stop at 3303)
~stoploss for shorts at 3303.It is time to tighten your stop if you short as bias turned neutral today.
~stoploss for longs at 3068.

***Fund flow (October 17)
~FIIs net in Index fut. - 325 cr, FIIs net in Stock Fut. + 179cr
~FIIs in Cash Market - 868 cr, Mut Funds in Cash Market + 113 cr
***total fund flow – 901 cr today & nifty was down by 180 points.
*** So far net fund flow of - 9349 cr in October series. (Nifty is also down in October series).

Fund flow data & Analysis for Oct 17

study case of trading system---tata steel.
here trend,momentum,bias all negative.

study case for trading system------bank of india.
here trend,momentum,bias all positive

******Trading system for BANK NIFTY
3d LMA- 5339, 3d HMA- 5638.
3d SMA- 5495, 8d SMA- 5395, 34d SMA- 5944.
~BIAS – neutral, MOMENTUM – positive, TREND – negative.
~STRATEGY-no new call generated. (Hold longs with closing stop at 5339)
~stoploss for shorts at 5638.
~stoploss for longs at 5339.

******Trading system for NIFTY
3d LMA- 3305, 3d HMA- 3500.
3d SMA- 3375, 8d SMA- 3452, 34d SMA- 4018.
~BIAS – negative, MOMENTUM – negative, TREND – negative.
~STRATEGY-no new call generated. (Hold shorts with closing stop at 3500)
~stoploss for shorts at 3500.
~stoploss for longs stopped out.

***Technicals
Nifty is in terminal phase of downtrend and now it seems that nifty will trade sideways in 3100-3500 range for some time.
Nifty is in process of intermediate bottom formation.
So far bottom is formed at 3100.

***Derivatives (October 16)
-Nifty (October) future premium increased to 20 points and around 4 lakh shares were added in open interest with increase in the cost of carry, indicating new longs at lower levels.
-Nifty call option add 12 lakh shares in open interest, whereas put option add 3 lakh shares in open interest. Thus open interest put-call ratio decreased to 0.73.
-Implied volatility has increased by 700 points(IVs around 65-70%) which indicate very high volatility in the coming days.

***Fund flow (October 14)
~FIIs net in Index fut. + 1207 cr, FIIs net in Stock Fut. + 538 cr,
~FIIs in Cash Market - 189 cr, Mut Funds in Cash Market - 261 cr

***total fund flow +1295 cr today & nifty was up by 28 points.
***Fund flow (October 15)
~FIIs net in Index fut. - 531 cr, FIIs net in Stock Fut. + 100cr
~FIIs in Cash Market - 841 cr, Mut Funds in Cash Market - 383 cr

***total fund flow – 1655 cr today & nifty was down by 180 points.
*** So far net fund flow of - 5877 cr in October series. (Nifty is also down in October series).

***Past fund flow
-8071 cr in June series (-520),+6474 cr in July series (+18), -6641 cr in August series (-119), -6903 cr in September series (-104)& closed at 4110.(-15141 cr from May closing of 4835)
Happy trading and investing.
-Dr.Jignesh Shah

FOR OCT 15

***Technicals
Nifty is in terminal phase of downtrend and is correcting upwards.
Nifty is in process of intermediate bottom formation.
So far bottom is formed at 3199.

******Trading system
3d LMA- 3321.
3d HMA- 3553.
3d SMA- 3430.
8d SMA- 3598.
34d SMA- 4078.
~BIAS - neutral
~MOMENTUM - negative
~TREND – negative.
~STRATEGY-no new call generated. (Hold shorts with closing stop at 3553)
Shorts should have stop at 3553 and Longs should have stop at 3321.

***Derivatives (October 14)
-Nifty (October) future premium decreased to 9 points and around 27 lakh shares were added in open interest with decrease in the cost of carry, indicating new short at higher levels.

-Nifty call option add 1 lakh shares in open interest, whereas put option add 7 lakh shares in open interest. Thus open interest put-call ratio increased to 0.76.

-Implied volatility has decreased by 250 points which indicate stability in the coming days.
***Fund flow (October 13)
~FIIs net in Index fut. + 1742 cr
~FIIs net in Stock Fut. + 786 cr
~FIIs in Cash Market - 842 cr
~Mut Funds in Cash Market + 520 cr
***total fund flow + 2206 cr today & nifty was up by 211 points.
*** So far net fund flow of - 5517 cr in October series. (Nifty is also down in October series).

Analysis For October 14

***Technicals
Nifty is in terminal phase of downtrend and is correcting upwards.
Nifty is in process of intermediate bottom formation.
******Trading system
3d LMA- 3267.
3d HMA- 3539.
3d SMA- 3428
8d SMA- 3648
34d SMA- 4102
~BIAS - neutral
~MOMENTUM - negative
~TREND – negative.
~STRATEGY-no new call generated.
Shorts should have stop at 3539 and Longs should have stop at 3267.

***Derivatives (October 13)
-Nifty (October) future premium increased to 43 points and around 1.8 lakh shares were shed in open interest with increase in the cost of carry, indicating short covering at lower levels.
-Nifty call option add 8 lakh shares in open interest, whereas put option add 15 lakh shares in open interest. Thus open interest put-call ratio increased to 0.75.
-Implied volatility has decreased by 800-900 points which indicate stability in the coming days.
***Fund flow (October 10)
~FIIs net in Index fut. - 8 cr
~FIIs net in Stock Fut. + 143 cr
~FIIs in Cash Market - 2323 cr
~Mut Funds in Cash Market + 315 cr
***total fund flow – 1873 cr today & nifty was down by 233 points.
*** So far net fund flow of - 7723 cr in October series. (Nifty is also down in October series).

***Past fund flow
-8071 cr in June series (-520), closed at 4315.
+6474 cr in July series (+18), closed at 4333.
-6641 cr in August series (-119), closed at 4214.
-6903 cr in September series (-104), closed at 4110.
*******so in a nutshell, net fund flow of
– 15141 cr after May closing of 4835,
- 7070 cr after June closing of 4315.
Happy trading and investing.
-Dr.Jignesh Shah

FOR OCT 10

*******Nifty Charts
The first chart is usefull only to investors not traders.
It clearly shows positive divrgence means our market will witness very fast recovery or rally sooner then later.


Second chart is for traders which shows that relief rally can come anytime now as all indicators are oversold. ***Technicals
Nifty is in terminal phase of downtrend and is in process of intermediate bottom formation.
Today bottom formed at 3329.

***Derivatives (October 8)
-Nifty (October) future premium decreased to 22 points and around 3 lakh shares were added in open interest with decrease in the cost of carry, indicating new short position at higher levels.
-Nifty call option add 20 lakh shares in open interest, whereas put option add 6 lakh shares in open interest. Thus open interest put-call ratio decreased to 0.77.
-Implied volatility has increased by 200-300 points which indicate high volatility in the coming days.

***Fund flow (October 6)
~FIIs net in Index fut. – 1010 cr
~FIIs net in Stock Fut. – 239 cr
~FIIs in Cash Market - 1121 cr
~Mut Funds in Cash Market - 231 cr
***total fund flow – 2601 cr today & nifty was down by 216 points.

***Fund flow (October 7)
~FIIs net in Index fut. + 188 cr
~FIIs net in Stock Fut. – 85 cr
~FIIs in Cash Market - 548 cr
~Mut Funds in Cash Market - 307 cr
***total fund flow – 752 cr today & nifty was up by 4 points.
*** So far net fund flow of - 4645 cr in October series. (Nifty is also down in October series).

***Past fund flow
-8071 cr in June series (-520), closed at 4315.
+6474 cr in July series (+18), closed at 4333.
-6641 cr in August series (-119), closed at 4214.
-6903 cr in September series (-104), closed at 4110.
*******so in a nutshell, net fund flow of
– 15141 cr after May closing of 4835,
- 7070 cr after June closing of 4315.

Happy trading and investing.
-Dr.Jignesh Shah

Nifty Analysis for Oct 3

***Technicals
Nifty is in terminal phase of downtrend and is correcting upwards.
Downside supports are at 3930, 3880.
Resistance will be at 4010, 4080.
Above 4120 downtrend will be terminated.

***Derivatives (October 1)
-Nifty (October) future premium increased to 16 points and around 3 lakh shares were added in open interest with increase in the cost of carry, indicating new long position at lower levels.
-Nifty call option add 12 lakh shares in open interest, whereas put option add 23 lakh shares in open interest. Thus open interest put-call ratio increased to 0.96.
-Implied volatility has decreased by 100-200 points which indicate stability in the coming days.

***Fund flow (September 30)
~FIIs net in Index fut. + 427 cr
~FIIs net in Stock Fut. + 230 cr
~FIIs in Cash Market + 84 cr
~Mut Funds in Cash Market + 402 cr (prov.)
***total fund flow + 1143 cr today & nifty was up by 71 points.
*** So far net fund flow of + 151 cr in October series. (But nifty is down in October series).

***Past fund flow
-8071 cr in June series (-520), closed at 4315.
+6474 cr in July series (+18), closed at 4333.
-6641 cr in August series (-119), closed at 4214.
-6903 cr in September series (-104), closed at 4110.

Happy trading and investing.
-Dr.Jignesh Shah